Hier noch der Blick aus der britischen links-liberalen Perspektive im New Statesman auf den Konflikt und seine Folgen:
https://archive.ph/2023.10.27-035443/https://www.newstatesman.com/world/middle-east/2023/10/the-great-unravelling
„The Israel-Hamas war threatens to overturn what remains of a Western-led international order. An escalating conflict will empower Iran and Russia, strengthen swing states such as Saudi Arabia and Qatar and alienate the Global South. A blockage of oil supplies in the Strait of Hormuz would fuel inflation and ravage Western economies. Pulled back into the Middle East, the United States will turn away from Ukraine, its commitment to defending Taiwan will become more equivocal and the faltering hegemon will retreat. A fully multipolar system will come into being, with all its instabilities and dangers.
Some or all of this scenario might yet be averted if diplomatic efforts at de-escalation somehow gain traction. Yet one stark fact stands out. Ethics and geopolitics obey divergent imperatives. Judgements of justice in war collide with the logic of strategy, and under the influence of progressive ideology Western opinion has lost the capacity to make proportionate moral judgements.“
„If ethics dictates that Hamas be condemned, geopolitics points in the opposite direction. There are many Arab governments that must secretly wish the Israelis success in eradicating the organisation as a military and political force. For the Saudis, the UAE and Egypt, it is a mortal enemy. With the Arab streets ablaze, none of them can do other than express unswerving public support for Hamas.“
„Simultaneously, it has recreated the conditions that produced the “war on terror”. There will be heightened risk in everyday life in Western countries for many years to come.“
„Benjamin Netanyahu and his government ignored the threat because they believed Hamas could be useful in dividing Gaza.“
„In the West, especially the Anglosphere, Hamas is increasingly seen through the lens of a progressive mindset in which it is a movement of resistance against a settler state.“
„But Hamas has had longer to entrench itself, and unlike in Mosul, where the ruined city could be taken over by the Iraqi government, no one is ready to rule a desolated Gaza. Inevitably, world opinion will cast Israel as the aggressor.“
„The events of 7 October will be remembered as a day in which a new epoch of barbarism was born. In ethical terms, it will be a time when atrocities were accepted as legitimate weapons in human conflict. In its geopolitical dimension, it was the point at which the post-Cold War order finally fractured. We have entered a world of imperial rivalries like that before 1914, which ended in Europe’s suicide in the trenches. After the Second World War, the United States ascended to its global hegemony, which is now in turn coming to an end. The difference is that this time there is no successor on the horizon.“