In einem neuen Bericht wird der verheerenden ökonomischen und politischen Konsequenzen des Einergiepreisschockes dargelegt, was Raum für eine Diskussion zu Themen wie Wirtschaftslage (und ihre Ursachen), Ursachen des Aufstiegs der AfD oder Rolle des Energiepreises geben könnte. Persönlich hat mich die Größe des Effekts sehr überascht.
Es wurde auch im Guardian zusammengefasst:
In a joint paper designed to underline the depth of the economic crisis in Europe’s erstwhile powerhouse, two former economic advisers to the German government have said that real wages in the country slumped further in 2022 than in any year since 1950.
A failure to protect German industry from the energy price spike may turn the 2020s into “a lost decade for Germany” and further fuel the rise of the populist far-right Alternative für Deutschland (AfD), the authors warned in a working paper published by the Forum for a New Economy. …
Weber and Krebs highlighted that two distinct surges in support for the AfD in the summers of 2022 and 2023 coincide with periods of uncertainty in the German government about how to address the impact of energy price shocks on living standards.
They calculated that real wages measured against pre-crisis forecasts fell by 4% from April 2022 to March 2023, while output fell by 4.1%. Once the damage to output caused by the Covid crisis is included, actual output at the end of 2023 was about 7% below the pre-crisis trend. Real wages were 10% below their pre-crisis trend in 2023.